Breeders' Cup 2023 Draw Analysis

Breeders’ Cup Draw Analysis

The main protagonists at this year’s Breeders’ Cup World Championships gathered at the historic Pasadena Civic Auditorium to be dealt their gate for the biggest races of the season. Following a tech dominated performance from digital magician Trigg Watson, the draw got underway and the Juvenile Turf Sprint (G1) threw up the first piece of drama for the day with Crimson Advocate drawing the inside gate with his stakes winning stablemate No Nay Mets outside him in #2.

(Full fields with US Morning Line odds)

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1)

1. Crimson Advocate  George Weaver  John Velazquez  4-1
2. No Nay Mets  George Weaver  Irad Ortiz Jr.  4-1
3. Tiger Belle  Ado McGuinness  Cristian Demuro  15-1
4. Big Evs  Michael Appleby  Tom Marquand  3-1
5. Givemethebeatboys  Jessica Harrington  Shane Foley  15-1
6. Starlust  Ralph Beckett  Frankie Dettori  20-1
7. Shards  Kelsey Danner  Adam Beschizza  15-1
8. Cherry Blossom  Aidan’O’Brien  Ryan Moore  12-1
9. Amidst Waves  George Weaver  Flavien Prat  8-1
10. Valiant Force  Adrian Murray  William Buick  12-1
11. Slider  John Sadler  Hector Berrios  8-1
12. Committee of One  Steve Asmussen  Cristian Torres  8-1


There will no doubt be some negotiation between George Weaver’s jockeys but they will also need to overcome #4 Big Evs – who has shown the some of the best gate speed of any European contender in the history of the race and is now perfectly placed to make use of it. Of the rest, Shards backers will be laughing with a cracking draw in #7 with two European raiders #6 Starlust and #8 Cherry Blossom either side – both of which he should be able to beat out and control the middle region to get good position.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1)

1. Candied  Todd Pletcher  Luis Saez  4-1
2. Jody’s Pride  Jorge Abreu  Flavien Prat  15-1
3. Scalable  Todd Pletcher  Jose Ortiz  20-1
4. Where’s My Ring  Val Brinkerhoff  Victor Espinoza  30-1
5. Omaha Girl  Jorge Delgado  Umberto Rispoli  30-1
6. Chatalas  Mark Glatt  Antonio Fresu  8-1
7. Tamara  Richard Mandella  Mike Smith  4-5
8. Esprit Enchante  Peter Miller  Juan Hernandez  20-1
9. Brightwork  John Ortiz  Ricardo Santana Jr.  12-1
10. Accommodate Eva  Dallas Stewart  John Velazquez  30-1
11. Life Talk  Todd Pletcher  Irad Ortiz Jr.  20-1
12. Just F Y I  Bill Mott  Junior Alvarado  8-1
13. Alys Beach  Tom Amoss  Tyler Gaffalione  30-1


The shortest Morning Line favourite of the two days – Tamara (USA) – landed on her feet in the draw with #7 and will line up bang in the middle of the thirteen-runner field. The opposite could be said for the talking horse of the race, Candied (USA), who drew #1 and will have to avoid trouble in running from the rail while the daughter of Justify, Just F Y I (USA), will have to overcome a wide draw in #12.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1)

1. Buttercream Babe  Mike Maker  Luis Saez  30-1
2. Flattery  Peter Eurton  Juan Hernandez  20-1
3. Buchu  Phil Bauer  Martin Garcia  6-1
4. Laulne  Phil D’Amato  Manny Franco  15-1
5. Content  Aiden O’Brien  Ryan Moore  15-1
6. Porta Fortuna  Donnacha O’Brien  Oisin Murphy  5-1
7. Gala Brand  Bill Mott  Jose Ortiz  12-1
8. Life’s an Audible  Todd Pletcher  Irad Ortiz Jr.  15-1
9. Carla’s Way  Simon Crisford  James Doyle  6-1
10. Austere  Brendan Walsh  Tyler Gaffalione  12-1
11. She Feels Pretty  Cherie DeVaux  John Velazquz  4-1
12. Hard to Justify  Chad Brown  Flavien Prat  6-1
13. Dreamfrye  O.J. Jauregui  Hector Berrios  15-1
14. Les Pavots  Francis-Henri Graffard  Mickael Barzalona  8-1


The European raiders will be happy with their placement in the race with Porta Fortuna taking up gate #6 and Carla’s Way (IRE) landing the #9 post. While Dreamfyre has been given a task to get her preferable run style from #13 – something which the rest of the field will have on notice as it could change the run of the race as a whole.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1)

1. The Wine Steward  Mike Maker  Luis Saez  8-1
2. Prince of Monaco  Bob Baffert  Flavien Prat  4-1
3. Wine Me Up  Bob Baffert  Ramon Vazquez  15-1
4. Timberlake  Brad Cox  Florent Geroux  4-1
5. Ecoro Neo  Hideyuki Mori  Yuga Kawada  30-1
6. Locked  Todd Pletcher  Jose Ortiz  7-2
7. Cuban Thunder  Adrian Murray  Tiago Pereira  30-1
8. General Partner  Chad Brown  Manny Franco  8-1
9. Fierceness  Todd Pletcher  John Velazquez  6-1
10. Muth  Bob Baffert  Juan Hernandez  4-1
11. Noted  Todd Pletcher  Irad Ortiz Jr.  20-1


The unbeaten Prince Of Monaco landed a neutral spot in #2 – which is neither positive or negative as he took the Del Mar Futurity (G1) running the shortest way around the track but now risks some trouble in running unless he gets out nicely. Muth was drawn out wide in #10, which will give the Bob Baffert trainee options, while Timberlake in #4 and Locked in #6 have come out smelling of roses.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1)

1. Air Recruit  Arnaud Delacour  Luis Saez  20-1
2. River Tiber  Aidan O’Brien  Ryan Moore  3-1
3. Tok Tok  Graham Motion  John Velazquez  20-1
4. Can Group  Mark Casse  Flavien Prat  12-1
5. My Boy Prince  Mark Casse  Joel Rosario  8-1
6. Stay Hot  Peter Eurton  Antonio Fresu  20-1
7. Agate Road  Todd Pletcher  Irad Ortiz Jr.  8-1
8. Unquestionable  Aidan O’Brien  Frankie Dettori  4-1
9. Endlessly  Michael McCarthy  Juan Hernandez  5-1     
10. Fulmineo  Arnaud Delacour  Tyler Gaffalione  20-1
11. Liam’s Journey  Mike Maker  Manny Franco  30-1
12. Mountain Bear  Aidan O’Brien  Dylan McMongale  12-1
13. Grand Mo The First  Victor Barboza  Hector Berrios  20-1
14. Carson’s Run  Christophe Clement  Dylan Davis  6-1


Carson’s Run is stuck out in the car park in #14 but shouldn’t be as disadvantaged as you would think with his ability to take back though his prep win in the Summer (G1) came from gate 2. River Tiber has enough tactical speed to negate any negatives of being drawn in #2, but if there is a winner of this draw #8 Unquestionable will be a lot happier than stablemate #12 Mountain Bear and is better set to land master trainer Aidan O’Brien a record sixth win in the race.

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1)

1. Stage Raider  Cherie DeVaux  Brian Hernandez Jr.  15-1
2. Practical Move  Tim Yakteen  Ramon Vazquez  SCRATCHED
3. Cody’s Wish  Bill Mott  Junior Alvarado  9-5
4. Zozos  Brad Cox  Florent Geroux  6-1
5. Charge It  Todd Pletcher  John Velazquez  5-1
6. Skippylongstocking  Saffie Joseph Jr.  Tyler Gaffalione  12-1
7. Algiers  Simon Crisford  James Doyle  SCRATCHED
8. Shirl’s Bee  Dallas Stewart  Luis Saez  20-1
9. National Treasure  Bob Baffert  Flavien Prat 8-1


The post position #3 has changed nothing in this penalty kick for Cody’s Wish, who no longer has to contend with #7 Algiers after the Crisford trainee was scratched this morning due to inflammation in a leg.

Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Turf (G1)

1. In Italian  Chad Brown  Joel Rosario  4-1
2. Warm Heart  Aidan O’Brien  Ryan Moore  3-1
3. With The Moonlight  Charlie Appleby  William Buick  20-1
4. Moira  Kevin Attard  Flavien Prat  12-1
5. Win Marilyn  Takahisa Tezuka  Cristian Demuro  20-1
6. Inspiral  John and Thady Gosden  Frankie Dettori  5-2
7. Lindy  Brendan Walsh  Tyler Gaffalione  12-1
8. Fev Rover  Mark Casse  Javier Castellano  8-1
9. Didia  Ignacio Correas  Vincent Cheminaud  8-1
10. McKulick  Chad Brown  Irad Ortiz Jr.  15-1
11. Lumiere Rock  Joseph O’Brien  Dylan McMonagle  12-1
12. State Occasion  Ralph Beckett  Rossa Ryan  20-1


#11 Lumiere Rock and #12 State Occasion will be weighing up their options with a wide draw which could disadvantage them given the initial turn while In Italian will be pleased to have a great opportunity to bag the rail and set the pace from #1 as will Inspiral enjoy a stalking run from #6.


Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint (G1)

1. Goodnight Olive  Chad Brown  Irad Ortiz Jr.  6-5
2. Clearly Unhinged  Michael McCarthy  Umberto Rispoli  12-1
3. Eda  Bob Baffert  Juan Hernandez  10-1
4. Matareya  Brad Cox  Flavien Prat  6-1
5. Kirstenbosch  John Sadler  Hector Berrios  10-1
6. Meikei Yell  Hidenori Take  Kenichi Ikezoe  15-1
7. Society  Steve Asmussen  Tyler Gaffalione  5-2
8. Three Witches  Saffie Joseph Jr.  Luis Saez  30-1
9. Yuugiri  Rodolphe Brisset  Ricardo Santana Jr.  8-1


The smaller field will lighten the burden of the #1 spot for short priced favourite Goodnight Olive, while Matareya lands a good spot in #4.

Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1)

1. Shirl’s Speight  Roger Attfield  John Velazquez  30-1
2. Gina Romantica  Chad Brown  Tyler Gaffalione  12-1
3. Casa Creed  Bill Mott  Luis Saez  8-1
4. Win Carnelian  Yuichi Shinto  Kosei Miura  30-1
5. Lucky Score  Mark Casse  Irad Ortiz Jr.  30-1
6. Mawj  Saeed bin Suroor  Oisin Murphy  4-1
7. Masteroffoxhounds  Phil D’Amato  Edwin Maldonado  30-1
8. Du Jour  Bob Baffert  Flavien Prat  15-1
9. Astronomer  Simon Callaghan  Ryan Moore  20-1
10. Songline  Toru Hayashi  Keita Tosaki  5-2
11. Kelina  Carlos Laffon-Paria  Maxime Guyon  6-1
12. Exaulted  Peter Eurton  Juan Hernandez  20-1
13. More Than Looks  Cherie DeVaux  Joel Rosario  15-1
14. Master of the Seas  Charlie Appleby  William Buick  7-2


Master Of The Seas finds himself on the opposite end of the stalls following his rail spot last time out, drawing the car park #14. No doubt disadvantaged, though his turn of foot will soften the blow and connections will have mixed emotions in wanting a pace on for him to run at with fellow Godolphin raider Mawj likely running prominently from gate #6. Songline’s connections will also be happy with the #10 spot.


Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1)

1. Hoosier Philly  Tom Amoss  Luis Saez  20-1
2. A Mo Reay  Brad Cox  Christophe Lemaire  20-1
3. Pretty Mischievous  Brendan Walsh  Tyler Gaffalione  8-1
4. Idiomatic  Brad Cox  Florent Geroux  5-2
5. Adare Manor  Bob Baffert  Juan Hernandez  4-1
6. Search Results  Chad Brown  Irad Ortiz Jr.  5-1
7. Wet Paint  Brad Cox  Flavien Prat  10-1
8. Randomized  Chad Brown  Jose Ortiz  6-1
9. Clairiere  Steve Asmussen  Joel Rosario  4-1
10. Desert Dawn  Phil D’Amato  Hector Berrios  20-1
11. Le Da Vida  Ignacio Correas  Vincent Cheminaud  20-1


The playing field was somewhat levelled with the draw that sees pace angles Adare Manor and Randomized drawn in #5 and #8 respectively, outside of favourite Idiomatic in #4. This positioning may cause some carnage for the favourite if she doesn’t get a clean break.


Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1)


1. Arcangelo  Jena Antonucci  Javier Castellano  SCRATCHED
2. Zandon  Chad Brown  Frankie Dettori  12-1
3. White Abarrio  Rick Dutrow Jr.  Irad Ortiz Jr.  4-1
4. Missed The Cut  John Sadler  Luis Saez  30-1
5. Derma Sotogake  Hidetaka Otonashi  Christophe Lemaire  20-1
6. Saudi Crown  Brad Cox  Florent Geroux  12-1
7. Clapton  Chad Summers  Tyler Gaffalione  20-1
8. Ushba Tesoro  Noboru Takagi  Yuga Kawada  4-1
9. Senor Buscador  Todd Fincher  Geovanni Franco  30-1
10. Dreamlike  Todd Pletcher  Jose Ortiz  30-1
11. Bright Future  Todd Pletcher  John Velazquez  10-1


Pace horses #6 Saudi Crown and #12 Arabian Knight will prove a problem outside White Abarrio, draw in stall #3, while Proxy has also landed a tough draw in #13. White Abarrio is well placed to navigate the trickier draw, however, with fearless jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. on board.